Tuesday, January 31, 2006

 

(BN) What You Won't Hear in the State of the Union


 
What You Won't Hear in the State of the Union: Gene Sperling
2006-01-31 00:07 (New York)


     (Commentary. Gene Sperling, author of ``The Pro-Growth
Progressive,'' was President Bill Clinton's top economic adviser.
He is a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress. The
opinions expressed are his own.)

By Gene Sperling
     Jan. 31 (Bloomberg) -- If you have been following President
George W. Bush's remarks on the economy over the past few months,
you can probably guess what he is likely to say during the State
of the Union.
     While there will likely be a brief, obligatory concession
that some Americans are still struggling, the president's text
and subtext will be straight forward.
     The text will be that the economy ``has a full head of
steam'' due to his tax cuts, and that we better make them all
permanent -- even those directed to the most affluent -- to keep
the good times rolling.
     The subtext will of course be, ``What the heck is the matter
with you? How can only 37 percent (according to a recent
Bloomberg/LA Times poll) approve of my handling of the economy
when we have had two solid years of growth?''
     With fewer and fewer Republican incumbents wanting to run on
Bush's handling of Iraq, turning around public perception of the
president's economic leadership is no doubt a top political
priority for the White House.
     Since you are unlikely to hear, either in the text or
subtext, any of the legitimate economic reasons Americans aren't
buying President Bush's economic message, I will perform a public
service by providing a few.

                        Economy, Workers

     What you won't hear on the economy and typical workers:
     The president will certainly recite some version of his
statement that ``The American economy heads into 2006 with a full
head of steam,'' by talking up recent gross domestic product
growth.
     While real GDP growth of 3.2 percent has been significantly
below average compared with similar economic recoveries, the 4.2
percent and 3.5 percent growth in the last two years was solid.
     What the president will not be talking about, however, is
exactly what most working families care the most about -- their
wages. Hourly and weekly wages in inflation-adjusted terms have
actually fallen slightly since the recession ended in November
2001.
     While many Bush defenders seem to think it is unfair to talk
about anything other than the past two years of the economy, the
picture is just as bad during this oft-mentioned period after the
capital gains and dividend taxes were cut.
     To be precise, real average weekly earnings have fallen 0.9
percent (to $550.60 in December 2005 from $555.65 in December
2003), while real average hourly earnings have dropped further,
down 1.2 percent (to $16.34 from $16.54).

                          Family Income

     The story on family incomes is just as disappointing. Both
family and household incomes have fallen and poverty has risen
every year under this administration, according to the annual
census report on income and poverty. According to this official
tally, median household income has declined $1,669 from 2000
through 2004, falling each year since the recession in 2001. The
poverty rate jumped to 12.7 percent in 2004 from 11.3 percent in
2000.
     What you won't hear on jobs:
     You can bet your bottom dollar the president will highlight
recent job growth to show that his tax cuts have reignited the
great American job machine. By focusing on the more than 4.6
million jobs added since May 2003 the administration wants people
to ignore the unprecedented 1.1 million jobs lost during the
first 18 months of the recession and the mere 62,000 private
sector jobs generated a month in the Bush recovery -- all part of
the worst jobs recovery on record.

                          Below Average

     The hope is that 4.6 million jobs sounds big enough that
typical voters and lazy reporters will just accept it as a sign
of strong job growth. But anyone who does the slightest bit of
analysis will see otherwise.
     This level of job growth is 2.5 million jobs below the
average 2 1/2-year period under the Clinton Administration, and
more significantly represents less than half the average rate of
job growth in the similar periods of economic recoveries.
     What you won't hear on unemployment:
     While the president will definitely trumpet our 4.9 percent
unemployment rate, he almost certainly won't explain that the
unemployment rate can drop for two reasons: either because job
growth is strong (which is good) or because fewer people are
looking for work (which is generally not so good).

                          Dropping Out

     Unfortunately, the story behind the unemployment rate's drop
has been one of Americans falling out of the labor market. The
main reason unemployment is low is that a smaller share of the
population is working or looking for work than when Bush took
office. If this weren't the case, the unemployment rate would be
6.6 percent to 7.2 percent -- numbers that I guarantee you will
not hear in the State of the Union.
     This is in line with estimates by Boston Federal Reserve
economist Katharine Bradbury, who found that the decline in labor
force participation cuts 1 percent to 3 percentage points from
the official unemployment rate.
     I want to be clear about one thing: I don't blame Bush's
economic policies for all of the weak statistics that will not
make it into his State of the Union. There are usually several
causes for the good and bad aspects in the economy.
     But the president should certainly not be allowed to use
recent economic performance, which includes weak job and wage
growth, as a justification for fiscal policies that have ignored
our nation's critical investments in our future and led to the
worst fiscal deterioration in our nation's history.

--Editors: Greiff (lwo)

Story illustration: For a graph of the federal budget deficit,
see {FDEBTY <Index> GP <GO>}.
For a graph of the U.S. unemployment rate, see
{USURTOT <Index> GP <GO>}.
For a graph of the U.S. labor force participation rate, see
{USERTOT <Index> GP <GO>.}
For more Sperling columns, see {NI SPERLING <GO>}.
To write a letter to the editor, see {LETT <GO>}.

To contact the writer of this column:
Gene Sperling in Washington at (1)(202) 518-3401 or
gsperling@cfr.org.

To contact the editor responsible for this column:
James Greiff at (1)(212) 617-5801 or jgreiff@bloomberg.net.




#<529087.166543.2005-11-10T14:40:00.25>#
-0- Jan/31/2006 05:07 GMT

Sunday, January 29, 2006

 

NYT: Climate Expert Says NASA Tried to Silence Him

 
 

Climate Expert Says NASA Tried to Silence Him

Published: January 29, 2006
 
Fred R. Conrad/The New York Times

James E. Hansen, top NASA climate scientist, on Friday at the Goddard Institute in Upper Manhattan.

 

The top climate scientist at NASA says the Bush administration has tried to stop him from speaking out since he gave a lecture last month calling for prompt reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases linked to global warming.

The scientist, James E. Hansen, longtime director of the agency's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, said in an interview that officials at NASA headquarters had ordered the public affairs staff to review his coming lectures, papers, postings on the Goddard Web site and requests for interviews from journalists.

Dr. Hansen said he would ignore the restrictions. "They feel their job is to be this censor of information going out to the public," he said.

Dean Acosta, deputy assistant administrator for public affairs at the space agency, said there was no effort to silence Dr. Hansen. "That's not the way we operate here at NASA," Mr. Acosta said. "We promote openness and we speak with the facts."

He said the restrictions on Dr. Hansen applied to all National Aeronautics and Space Administration personnel. He added that government scientists were free to discuss scientific findings, but that policy statements should be left to policy makers and appointed spokesmen.

Mr. Acosta said other reasons for requiring press officers to review interview requests were to have an orderly flow of information out of a sprawling agency and to avoid surprises. "This is not about any individual or any issue like global warming," he said. "It's about coordination."

Dr. Hansen strongly disagreed with this characterization, saying such procedures had already prevented the public from fully grasping recent findings about climate change that point to risks ahead.

"Communicating with the public seems to be essential," he said, "because public concern is probably the only thing capable of overcoming the special interests that have obfuscated the topic."

Dr. Hansen, 63, a physicist who joined the space agency in 1967, directs efforts to simulate the global climate on computers at the Goddard Institute in Morningside Heights in Manhattan.

Since 1988, he has been issuing public warnings about the long-term threat from heat-trapping emissions, dominated by carbon dioxide, that are an unavoidable byproduct of burning coal, oil and other fossil fuels. He has had run-ins with politicians or their appointees in various administrations, including budget watchers in the first Bush administration and Vice President Al Gore.

In 2001, Dr. Hansen was invited twice to brief Vice President Dick Cheney and other cabinet members on climate change. White House officials were interested in his findings showing that cleaning up soot, which also warms the atmosphere, was an effective and far easier first step than curbing carbon dioxide.

He fell out of favor with the White House in 2004 after giving a speech at the University of Iowa before the presidential election, in which he complained that government climate scientists were being muzzled and said he planned to vote for Senator John Kerry.

But Dr. Hansen said that nothing in 30 years equaled the push made since early December to keep him from publicly discussing what he says are clear-cut dangers from further delay in curbing carbon dioxide.

In several interviews with The New York Times in recent days, Dr. Hansen said it would be irresponsible not to speak out, particularly because NASA's mission statement includes the phrase "to understand and protect our home planet."

He said he was particularly incensed that the directives had come through telephone conversations and not through formal channels, leaving no significant trails of documents.

Dr. Hansen's supervisor, Franco Einaudi, said there had been no official "order or pressure to say shut Jim up." But Dr. Einaudi added, "That doesn't mean I like this kind of pressure being applied."

The fresh efforts to quiet him, Dr. Hansen said, began in a series of calls after a lecture he gave on Dec. 6 at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco. In the talk, he said that significant emission cuts could be achieved with existing technologies, particularly in the case of motor vehicles, and that without leadership by the United States, climate change would eventually leave the earth "a different planet."

The administration's policy is to use voluntary measures to slow, but not reverse, the growth of emissions.

After that speech and the release of data by Dr. Hansen on Dec. 15 showing that 2005 was probably the warmest year in at least a century, officials at the headquarters of the space agency repeatedly phoned public affairs officers, who relayed the warning to Dr. Hansen that there would be "dire consequences" if such statements continued, those officers and Dr. Hansen said in interviews.

Among the restrictions, according to Dr. Hansen and an internal draft memorandum he provided to The Times, was that his supervisors could stand in for him in any news media interviews.

Mr. Acosta said the calls and meetings with Goddard press officers were not to introduce restrictions, but to review existing rules. He said Dr. Hansen had continued to speak frequently with the news media.

But Dr. Hansen and some of his colleagues said interviews were canceled as a result.

In one call, George Deutsch, a recently appointed public affairs officer at NASA headquarters, rejected a request from a producer at National Public Radio to interview Dr. Hansen, said Leslie McCarthy, a public affairs officer responsible for the Goddard Institute.

Citing handwritten notes taken during the conversation, Ms. McCarthy said Mr. Deutsch called N.P.R. "the most liberal" media outlet in the country. She said that in that call and others, Mr. Deutsch said his job was "to make the president look good" and that as a White House appointee that might be Mr. Deutsch's priority.

But she added: "I'm a career civil servant and Jim Hansen is a scientist. That's not our job. That's not our mission. The inference was that Hansen was disloyal."

Normally, Ms. McCarthy would not be free to describe such conversations to the news media, but she agreed to an interview after Mr. Acosta, at NASA headquarters, told The Times that she would not face any retribution for doing so.

Mr. Acosta, Mr. Deutsch's supervisor, said that when Mr. Deutsch was asked about the conversations, he flatly denied saying anything of the sort. Mr. Deutsch referred all interview requests to Mr. Acosta.

Ms. McCarthy, when told of the response, said: "Why am I going to go out of my way to make this up and back up Jim Hansen? I don't have a dog in this race. And what does Hansen have to gain?"

Mr. Acosta said that for the moment he had no way of judging who was telling the truth. Several colleagues of both Ms. McCarthy and Dr. Hansen said Ms. McCarthy's statements were consistent with what she told them when the conversations occurred.

"He's not trying to create a war over this," said Larry D. Travis, an astronomer who is Dr. Hansen's deputy at Goddard, "but really feels very strongly that this is an obligation we have as federal scientists, to inform the public."

Dr. Travis said he walked into Ms. McCarthy's office in mid-December at the end of one of the calls from Mr. Deutsch demanding that Dr. Hansen be better controlled.

In an interview on Friday, Ralph J. Cicerone, an atmospheric chemist and the president of the National Academy of Sciences, the nation's leading independent scientific body, praised Dr. Hansen's scientific contributions and said he had always seemed to describe his public statements clearly as his personal views.

"He really is one of the most productive and creative scientists in the world," Dr. Cicerone said. "I've heard Hansen speak many times and I've read many of his papers, starting in the late 70's. Every single time, in writing or when I've heard him speak, he's always clear that he's speaking for himself, not for NASA or the administration, whichever administration it's been."

The fight between Dr. Hansen and administration officials echoes other recent disputes. At climate laboratories of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, for example, many scientists who routinely took calls from reporters five years ago can now do so only if the interview is approved by administration officials in Washington, and then only if a public affairs officer is present or on the phone.

Where scientists' points of view on climate policy align with those of the administration, however, there are few signs of restrictions on extracurricular lectures or writing.

One example is Indur M. Goklany, assistant director of science and technology policy in the policy office of the Interior Department. For years, Dr. Goklany, an electrical engineer by training, has written in papers and books that it may be better not to force cuts in greenhouse gases because the added prosperity from unfettered economic activity would allow countries to exploit benefits of warming and adapt to problems.

In an e-mail exchange on Friday, Dr. Goklany said that in the Clinton administration he was shifted to nonclimate-related work, but added that he had never had to stop his outside writing, as long as he identified the views as his own.

"One reason why I still continue to do the extracurricular stuff," he wrote, "is because one doesn't have to get clearance for what I plan on saying or writing."



Saturday, January 28, 2006

 

LA Times: Words, Deeds on Spying Differed (i.e. Bush administration actively deceived Congress)

This Modern World: America, a brief parable



--------------


http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-spy26jan26,0,4753392.story?coll=la-headlines-nation
From the Los Angeles Times

THE NATION

Words, Deeds on Spying Differed

Even as warrantless U.S. eavesdropping was being conducted, the White House opposed easing rules on the issue in 2002 to avoid public debate.

By David G. Savage
Times Staff Writer

January 26, 2006

WASHINGTON — Four years ago, top Bush administration lawyers told Congress they opposed lowering the legal standard for intercepting the phone calls of foreigners who were in the United States, even while the administration had secretly adopted a lower standard on its own.

The government's public position then was the mirror opposite of its rationale today in defending its warrantless domestic spying program, which has come under attack as a violation of civil liberties.

Government wiretapping — and who sets the rules — has emerged at the center of a growing debate between the White House and Congress since the disclosure last month of the administration's warrantless spying program.

A Justice Department spokesman confirmed Wednesday the administration had opposed changing the law in 2002 in part because it did not want to publicly debate the issue.

"There was a conscious choice not to have a public discussion about it. It could have exposed the program. This was a military defense intelligence program," said the spokesman, who asked not be named because of the sensitivity surrounding the still-classified presidential order on wiretapping.

After the terrorist attacks of September 2001, lawmakers proposed several changes that would make it easier for the government to detect terrorists and their allies who might be operating in the United States.

Sen. Mike DeWine (R-Ohio) proposed making it easier for officials to obtain warrants to conduct wiretapping. The current law, the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978, said officials must have "probable cause" to believe someone was an agent of an international terrorist group before they could obtain a warrant to tap their phones.

This high standard proved to be a stumbling block at times. When Zacarias Moussaoui — the man later dubbed the 20th hijacker of the Sept. 11 attacks — was arrested in Minnesota in August 2001, officials in the Justice Department did not seek a warrant to search his laptop computer because they did not have probable cause to believe he was an Al Qaeda operative.

This was later judged to be a mistake. DeWine cited this when he proposed to lower the standard for obtaining a warrant to one of "reasonable suspicion." This would permit the government to move quickly to search or eavesdrop on suspicious foreigners such as Moussaoui, he said, even if they lacked "probable cause" to show they were members of Al Qaeda.

But when the proposal came before a Senate committee, the administration's lawyers testified that no change was needed.

"The administration at this time is not prepared to support it," the Justice Department's James A. Baker said of the DeWine amendment in congressional testimony. As counsel for intelligence policy at the time, he headed the office that sought search warrants from the secret Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act court that meets inside the Justice Department.

The administration now defends the constitutionality of the warrantless domestic spying program and says it is necessary to avoid the "cumbersome" process of getting a warrant from the FISA court.

But in 2002, Baker told Congress it was not clear "whether a 'reasonable suspicion' standard for electronic surveillance would … pass constitutional muster."

Baker also said the existing standard was not a problem.

"We have been aggressive in seeking FISA warrants, and thanks to Congress' passage of the [Patriot Act] we have been able to use our expanded FISA tools more effectively to combat terrorist activities," he said. "It may not be the case that the probable cause standard has caused any difficulties in our ability to seek FISA warrants we require."

DeWine's proposal failed to pass the committee.

This week, top administration officials confirmed that before DeWine even made his proposal, they had adopted a "reasonable basis" standard for this eavesdropping.

"The president's authorization allows us to track this kind of call more comprehensively and more efficiently. The trigger is quicker and a bit softer than it is for a FISA warrant," Gen. Michael V. Hayden, the No. 2 ranking intelligence official and the former head of NSA, told reporters Monday.

Asked whether the key change was to switch from "probable cause" to a "reasonableness" standard, Hayden said, "I think you have accurately described the criteria under which this operates."

A Senate Democrat, Patrick J. Leahy of Vermont, accused the administration of having tried "to paper over the legality of a secret spying program. If they really believed the current law is too burdensome, the Bush administration should have asked Congress to change it, but they did not. Instead a top lawyer in the Bush administration did just the opposite."

Timothy Edgar, a lawyer on national security policy for the American Civil Liberties Union, also accused the administration of "remarkable duplicity" for having testified in public against the legal change while carrying it out in private. "It seems they were being incredibly deceptive," he said.

The Justice Department's conflicting statements came to light Wednesday after Glenn Greenwald, a New York lawyer, posted the differing statements on a blog.


Friday, January 27, 2006

 

(BN) Majority in U.S. Say Bush Presidency Is a Failure


 
Majority in U.S. Say Bush Presidency Is a Failure, Poll Finds
2006-01-26 16:48 (New York)

By Nicholas Johnston
     Jan. 26 (Bloomberg) -- A majority of Americans said the
presidency of George W. Bush has been a failure and that they
would be more likely to vote for congressional candidates who
oppose him, according to a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll.
     Fifty-two percent of adults said Bush's administration since
2001 has been a failure, down from 55 percent in October. Fifty-
eight percent described his second term as a failure. At the same
point in former President Bill Clinton's presidency, 70 percent
of those surveyed by Gallup said they considered it a success and
20 percent a failure.
     In a poll conducted in January of 2002, after Bush was
president for one year, 83 percent of those surveyed said his
presidency was a success.
     In the new poll, conducted Jan. 20-22, fifty-one percent of
those surveyed said they would be more likely to vote for
congressional candidates who do not support Bush's policies.
     The percentage of Americans who called Bush ``honest and
trustworthy'' fell 7 percentage points in the last year to 49
percent, the poll found.
     The new poll also found that 62 percent of Americans said
they are ``dissatisfied'' with ``the way things are going'' in
the U.S., unchanged from a December survey. The percentage of
``dissatisfied'' Americans reached its peak in October of 2005
when 68 percent of those surveyed agreed.
     The survey interviewed 1,006 U.S. adults and has a margin of
error of 4.5 percentage points. For the questions about whether
Bush's presidency is a success, about 500 U.S. adults were
surveyed and the margin for error is plus or minus 5 percentage
points.

--Editor: O'Connell.


Thursday, January 26, 2006

 

WP: Environmental Report Rates New Zealand No. 1 (US ranked 28th, below nearly every major country in Western Europe)

Environmental Report Rates New Zealand No. 1

By Juliet Eilperin
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, January 25, 2006; A05

New Zealand leads the world in meeting key environmental goals such as providing clean water and sanitation for its citizens, according to a study by researchers at Yale and Columbia.

The United States ranked 28th on the environmental performance survey being released Thursday as part of this week's World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. The U.S. ranking was hurt by its high greenhouse gas emissions, overuse of water and unsustainable agricultural practices, the researchers said.

Researchers assessed how close 133 countries came to reaching 16 environmental goals, including air quality, biodiversity and sustainable energy. New Zealand had a score of 88 percent, followed by six northern European nations that all got 84 percent or higher. The United States met 78.5 percent of the survey's environmental goals, while Niger ranked last, at 25.7 percent.

The index makes it possible to compare countries in similar regions or economic levels: Belgium lags behind the United Kingdom, for example, while Ghana far outpaces Nigeria.

"It's possible to shift to a more data-driven approach of environmental protection," said Daniel C. Esty, who directs the Yale Center for Environmental Law and Policy and was a co-author of the report. "What is striking is that at every level of development, some number of countries are outperforming their peers."

The United States ranked below nearly every major country in Western Europe, although it outperformed Russia and several Eastern European nations, including Hungary and Poland. Malaysia and Japan had the best scores among Asian countries. In most instances, developing countries in Africa and the Middle East lagged behind more industrialized nations.

"Environmental sustainability is substantially a factor of income and the ability to invest in building environmental infrastructure," Esty said, adding that the United States' lackluster ranking shows that economic prosperity does not automatically translate into responsible environmental stewardship. "As Americans, we think we are great at everything. This shows that is not the case."

The United States did best in providing drinking water and adequate sanitation, while scoring poorly on fisheries and forest management. Environmental Protection Agency spokeswoman Eryn Witcher said the administration has a strong environmental record.

"The United States has proven that environmental progress and economic success can go hand in hand using market-based solutions, innovative policies, and partnerships and was recently commended by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development for this pioneering approach to environmental protection," Witcher said.


Wednesday, January 25, 2006

 

NYT: Why We Fight

MORE ON 'Why We Fight'

Casting a Harshly Critical Eye on the Business of Warfare in America

Published: January 20, 2006

The title of Eugene Jarecki's "Why We Fight" sounds like both a declaration and a question. While variations on these three words are repeated throughout the film - posed as a question to various Joes, Janes and sometimes little Timmy - it is clear from the start of this agitprop entertainment that Mr. Jarecki has a very good idea why America has seemed so eager to pick up arms over the past half-century. Calvin Coolidge famously said that the chief business of the American people is business; 80 years later, Mr. Jarecki forcefully, if not with wholesale persuasiveness, argues that our business is specifically war.

NARA/Sony Pictures Classics

Eugene Jarecki's "Why We Fight" takes its name from a series of films made by Frank Capra for the United States military during World War II.


Another American president is critical to that argument. On Jan. 17, 1961, Dwight D. Eisenhower delivered his farewell address to the country. Writing in longhand - one of the more arresting images in the film is the tablet on which he wrote his famous speech, scratched-out words and all - Eisenhower took stock of the nation, its recent wars and its military might. "In the councils of government," warned this president and former general of the Army, "we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist. We must never let the weight of this combination endanger our liberties or democratic processes."

Mr. Jarecki borrowed the title "Why We Fight" from a series of films made by Frank Capra for the military during World War II, and it's after that war that the story of the military-industrial complex begins. It's a story Mr. Jarecki tells with appreciable energy, using images culled from newsreels, educational and military films, and original material. Bombs explode, wars are fought, and talking heads fill the screen. The editor of The Weekly Standard, William Kristol, waves the flag for the right, while Gore Vidal shakes his pompoms for the left, invoking American amnesia. Everyone sounds smart, if not always convincing, as when Mr. Vidal states that Truman dropped atom bombs on Japan only to frighten Stalin and declare war on Communism, even though the Japanese were trying to surrender.

Mr. Vidal's assertion would give some historians pause and others an attack of apoplexy. Which raises a problem with films of this type: Who's telling the truth? Crammed with facts, or at least assertions of fact, "Why We Fight" presents a battalion of experts delivering what sound like reasonable historical overviews and political analyses. Given the sheer wealth of information, however - more than 50 years of American military history and dozens of wars and military adventures are wedged into the film's 99-minute running time - even an attentive observer of the geopolitical landscapes past and present might have a hard time separating the chaff from the wheat, ideologically framed arguments from those more empirically grounded.

To his credit, Mr. Jarecki doesn't bother with the fig leaf of journalistic objectivity as far too many nonfiction filmmakers try to do; his political agenda in this film is as clear as Michael Moore's in "Fahrenheit 9/11." Unlike Mr. Moore, however, Mr. Jarecki eschews folksy populism to sell his message; instead, he employs his skills as an archivist, interviewer and researcher, as well as the talents of his editor, Nancy Kennedy, to sell the goods. He likes Ike - or at least Eisenhower's powerful farewell speech - and he clearly doesn't like the current president, or at least his doctrine. Using a former president to shore up an argument is very canny; using a former Republican president as ammunition against another Republican president is doubly so.

One person's politically convincing argument is another's propagandistic screed, and whether you buy the film will doubtless depend on your existing beliefs. That said, even those of radical political persuasion might find it hard to accept Mr. Jarecki's argument that American militarism is, underneath the talk about freedom and democracy, a simple question of dollars. If nothing else, such thinking ignores that wars are fought not just by governments working in concert with big business and lobbyists, but also by people. In this respect, Mr. Jarecki's use of a retired New York cop named Wilton Sekzer, who lost his son on 9/11 and supported the invasion of Iraq because he believed President Bush's assertion that the two were linked, is problematic, and not only because one grieving father cannot represent an entire nation.

Mr. Sekzer is a deeply sympathetic figure, as much for his anger as for his choked-back tears. Yet his desire for vengeance, which seems to spring from someplace deep inside him and makes him sound almost Homeric, works against the film. In Mr. Jarecki's formulation, successive American governments have waged wars and conducted secret military operations for profit, and then sold these campaigns to us as necessary, even righteous. The idea is that because the public buys the lies, it also buys the wars. Too bad this doesn't explain why people buy lies, including the obvious ones. There's something comforting in the idea that our mistakes can be pinned on presidents, propaganda and Halliburton, perhaps because then it seems as if we didn't have anything to do with them.

"Why We Fight" is rated PG-13 (Parents strongly cautioned). It contains some disturbing war images.

Why We Fight

Opens today in New York and Los Angeles.

Written and directed by Eugene Jarecki; directors of photography, Étienne Sauret and May Ying Welsh; edited by Nancy Kennedy; music by Robert Miller; produced by Mr. Jarecki and Susannah Shipman; released by Sony Pictures Classics. Running time: 99 minutes.


Tuesday, January 24, 2006

 

NYT: Wayward Christian Soldiers

January 20, 2006
Op-Ed Contributor

Wayward Christian Soldiers

Charlottesville, Va.

IN the past several years, American evangelicals, and I am one of them, have amassed greater political power than at any time in our history. But at what cost to our witness and the integrity of our message?

Recently, I took a few days to reread the war sermons delivered by influential evangelical ministers during the lead up to the Iraq war. That period, from the fall of 2002 through the spring of 2003, is not one I will remember fondly. Many of the most respected voices in American evangelical circles blessed the president's war plans, even when doing so required them to recast Christian doctrine.

Charles Stanley, pastor of the First Baptist Church of Atlanta, whose weekly sermons are seen by millions of television viewers, led the charge with particular fervor. "We should offer to serve the war effort in any way possible," said Mr. Stanley, a former president of the Southern Baptist Convention. "God battles with people who oppose him, who fight against him and his followers." In an article carried by the convention's Baptist Press news service, a missionary wrote that "American foreign policy and military might have opened an opportunity for the Gospel in the land of Abraham, Isaac and Jacob."

As if working from a slate of evangelical talking points, both Franklin Graham, the evangelist and son of Billy Graham, and Marvin Olasky, the editor of the conservative World magazine and a former advisor to President Bush on faith-based policy, echoed these sentiments, claiming that the American invasion of Iraq would create exciting new prospects for proselytizing Muslims. Tim LaHaye, the co-author of the hugely popular "Left Behind" series, spoke of Iraq as "a focal point of end-time events," whose special role in the earth's final days will become clear after invasion, conquest and reconstruction. For his part, Jerry Falwell boasted that "God is pro-war" in the title of an essay he wrote in 2004.

The war sermons rallied the evangelical congregations behind the invasion of Iraq. An astonishing 87 percent of all white evangelical Christians in the United States supported the president's decision in April 2003. Recent polls indicate that 68 percent of white evangelicals continue to support the war. But what surprised me, looking at these sermons nearly three years later, was how little attention they paid to actual Christian moral doctrine. Some tried to square the American invasion with Christian "just war" theory, but such efforts could never quite reckon with the criterion that force must only be used as a last resort. As a result, many ministers dismissed the theory as no longer relevant.

Some preachers tried to link Saddam Hussein with wicked King Nebuchadnezzar of Biblical fame, but these arguments depended on esoteric interpretations of the Old Testament book of II Kings and could not easily be reduced to the kinds of catchy phrases that are projected onto video screens in vast evangelical churches. The single common theme among the war sermons appeared to be this: our president is a real brother in Christ, and because he has discerned that God's will is for our nation to be at war against Iraq, we shall gloriously comply.

Such sentiments are a far cry from those expressed in the Lausanne Covenant of 1974. More than 2,300 evangelical leaders from 150 countries signed that statement, the most significant milestone in the movement's history. Convened by Billy Graham and led by John Stott, the revered Anglican evangelical priest and writer, the signatories affirmed the global character of the church of Jesus Christ and the belief that "the church is the community of God's people rather than an institution, and must not be identified with any particular culture, social or political system, or human ideology."

On this page, David Brooks correctly noted that if evangelicals elected a pope, it would most likely be Mr. Stott, who is the author of more than 40 books on evangelical theology and Christian devotion. Unlike the Pope John Paul II, who said that invading Iraq would violate Catholic moral teaching and threaten "the fate of humanity," or even Pope Benedict XVI, who has said there were "not sufficient reasons to unleash a war against Iraq," Mr. Stott did not speak publicly on the war. But in a recent interview, he shared with me his abiding concerns.

"Privately, in the days preceding the invasion, I had hoped that no action would be taken without United Nations authorization," he told me. "I believed then and now that the American and British governments erred in proceeding without United Nations approval." Reverend Stott referred me to "War and Rumors of War, " a chapter from his 1999 book, "New Issues Facing Christians Today," as the best account of his position. In that essay he wrote that the Christian community's primary mission must be "to hunger for righteousness, to pursue peace, to forbear revenge, to love enemies, in other words, to be marked by the cross."

What will it take for evangelicals in the United States to recognize our mistaken loyalty? We have increasingly isolated ourselves from the shared faith of the global Church, and there is no denying that our Faustian bargain for access and power has undermined the credibility of our moral and evangelistic witness in the world. The Hebrew prophets might call us to repentance, but repentance is a tough demand for a people utterly convinced of their righteousness.

Charles Marsh, a professor of religion at the University of Virginia, is the author of "The Beloved Community: How Faith Shapes Social Justice, from the Civil Rights Movement to Today."


Monday, January 23, 2006

 

NYT: Rights Group Assails the U.S. Over Abuse of Terror Suspects

January 19, 2006

Rights Group Assails the U.S. Over Abuse of Terror Suspects

WASHINGTON, Jan. 18 - Human Rights Watch asserted Wednesday that the Bush administration had undertaken a deliberate strategy of abusing terror suspects during interrogations, in ways, the group said, that undercut broader American interests. The criticism drew an unusually direct rebuff from the White House.

"In the course of 2005, it became indisputable that U.S. mistreatment of detainees reflected not a failure of training, discipline or oversight, but a deliberate policy choice," the rights group said in a sweeping critique in its annual report. "The problem could not be reduced to a few bad apples at the bottom of the barrel."

The group said the United States' detainee practices, along with the accusations that torture has possibly taken place at secret camps, had, together with what it said was a tendency of some Europeans to put business ahead of rights concerns, produced a "global leadership void" in defending human rights.

But Scott McClellan, the White House spokesman, said he was "rejecting the description of the United States."

"When a group like this makes some of these assertions, it diminishes the effectiveness of that organization," he said. "It appears to be based more on a political agenda than facts."

"The United States," Mr. McClellan added, "does more than any country in the world to advance freedom and promote human rights."

Human Rights Watch suggests that a special prosecutor be named to investigate abuses, and that Congress establish an independent inquiry panel.

The group has long focused its reports on countries considered the world's most repressive, and its latest report lists abuses in countries like Nepal, Uzbekistan and Sudan.

But the report takes the United States to task because of its predominant role and its history of championing human rights abroad. "Any discussion of detainee abuse in 2005 must begin with the United States, not because it is the worst violator but because it is the most influential," the report said.

The prisoner abuse scandals of recent years have harmed American efforts to advocate democracy and to promote respect for rights abroad, the group said. "The willingness to flout human rights to fight terrorism is not only illegal and wrong; it is counterproductive," the report said. "These human rights violations generate indignation and outrage that spur terrorist recruitment."

In the past, American officials often cited the group's reports to make points about abuses abroad.

But lately the focus has shifted. When The Washington Post last year reported accusations that there were secret C.I.A. camps in Europe but, at the administration's request, did not identify the countries involved, Human Rights Watch angered American officials by naming towns where it said prisoners had been held.

In arguing that detainee abuse has been part of deliberate policy, the group cited President Bush's vow, later rescinded, to veto a bill opposing "cruel, inhuman, and degrading treatment," and Vice President Dick Cheney's efforts to exempt the C.I.A. from the same bill.


Sunday, January 22, 2006

 

NYT: Report Questions Legality of Briefings on Surveillance

January 19, 2006

Report Questions Legality of Briefings on Surveillance

WASHINGTON, Jan. 18 - A legal analysis by the nonpartisan Congressional Research Service concludes that the Bush administration's limited briefings for Congress on the National Security Agency's domestic eavesdropping without warrants are "inconsistent with the law."

The analysis was requested by Representative Jane Harman, the ranking Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, who said in a Jan. 4 letter to President Bush that she believed the briefings should be open to all the members of the House and Senate Intelligence Committees.

Instead, the briefings have been limited to the Republican and Democratic leaders of the House and Senate and of the Intelligence Committees, the so-called Gang of Eight.

Since 2002, the security agency has intercepted the international phone calls and e-mail messages of some Americans and others in the United States who the agency believes are linked to Al Qaeda. The eavesdropping was authorized by an executive order signed by President Bush but without the court warrants usually required.

The Senate Judiciary Committee on Wednesday scheduled an open hearing on the eavesdropping program for Feb. 6. The hearing, titled "Wartime executive power and the N.S.A.'s surveillance authority," is expected to include testimony from Attorney General Alberto R. Gonzales .

In an interview on Wednesday, Ms. Harman, of California, said she had been invited to another briefing on the program at the White House on Friday and had urged senior administration officials to open the session to the full committees.

She declined to name the officials, but a Congressional staff member said they were Andrew H. Card Jr., the White House chief of staff; and David S. Addington, Vice President Dick Cheney's chief of staff. Mr. Cheney's office oversees the briefings on the surveillance program.

Of the Congressional Research Service analysis, Ms. Harman said, "It's a solid piece of work, and it confirms a view I've held for a long time."

A White House spokesman, speaking on condition of anonymity because the program was classified, said, "We continue to brief the appropriate members of Congress as we have been for the last several years."

A spokesman for Representative Peter Hoekstra, chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, said Mr. Hoekstra was traveling and had not seen the report.

The spokesman, Jamal D. Ware, said that Mr. Hoekstra, a Michigan Republican, believed the briefings had been adequate for Congressional oversight but that he was open to expanding them.

"The chairman is taking it under consideration and does support some expansion of the number of Intelligence Committee members who are briefed," Mr. Ware said.

The Congressional Research Service memorandum, sent to the Intelligence Committee on Wednesday, explores the requirement in the National Security Act of 1947 that the committees be kept "fully and currently informed" of intelligence activities. It notes that the law specifically allows notification of "covert actions" to the Gang of Eight, but says the security agency's program does not appear to be a covert action program.

As a result, the memorandum says, limiting the briefings to just eight members of Congress "would appear to be inconsistent with the law."

The memorandum, written by Alfred Cumming, a national security specialist at the research service, does lay out several possible defenses for the administration's position. "The executive branch may assert that the mere discussion of the N.S.A. program generally could expose certain intelligence sources and methods to disclosure," it says.

In a related action, the Electronic Privacy Information Center, an advocacy group in Washington, said it would file suit against the Justice Department for failing to release documents on the eavesdropping program that it had requested under the Freedom of Information Act. A department spokesman said the department gave an initial response to the center's request within three days of its receipt on Dec. 16, saying it had approved expedited handling for the request.


Saturday, January 21, 2006

 

NYT: 2002 Memo Doubted Uranium Sale Claim

January 18, 2006

2002 Memo Doubted Uranium Sale Claim

WASHINGTON, Jan. 17 - A high-level intelligence assessment by the Bush administration concluded in early 2002 that the sale of uranium from Niger to Iraq was "unlikely" because of a host of economic, diplomatic and logistical obstacles, according to a secret memo that was recently declassified by the State Department.

Among other problems that made such a sale improbable, the assessment by the State Department's intelligence analysts concluded, was that it would have required Niger to send "25 hard-to-conceal 10-ton tractor-trailers" filled with uranium across 1,000 miles and at least one international border.

The analysts' doubts were registered nearly a year before President Bush, in what became known as the infamous "16 words" in his 2003 State of the Union address, said that Saddam Hussein had sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa.

The White House later acknowledged that the charge, which played a part in the decision to invade Iraq in the belief that Baghdad was reconstituting its nuclear program, relied on faulty intelligence and should not have been included in the speech. Two months ago, Italian intelligence officials concluded that a set of documents at the center of the supposed Iraq-Niger link had been forged by an occasional Italian spy.

A handful of news reports, along with the Robb-Silberman report last year on intelligence failures in Iraq, have previously made reference to the early doubts expressed by the State Department's bureau of intelligence and research in 2002 concerning the reliability of the Iraq-Niger uranium link.

But the intelligence assessment itself - including the analysts' full arguments in raising wide-ranging doubts about the credence of the uranium claim - was only recently declassified as part of a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit brought by Judicial Watch, a conservative legal group that has sought access to government documents on terrorism and intelligence matters. The group, which received a copy of the 2002 memo among several hundred pages of other documents, provided a copy of the memo to The New York Times.

The White House declined to discuss details of the declassified memo, saying the Niger question had already been explored at length since the president's State of the Union address.

"This matter was examined fully by the bipartisan Silberman-Robb commission, and the president acted on their broad recommendations to reform our intelligence apparatus," said Frederick Jones, a spokesman for the National Security Council.

The public release of the State Department assessment, with some sections blacked out, adds another level of detail to an episode that was central not only to the debate over the invasion of Iraq, but also in the perjury indictment of I. Lewis Libby Jr., the former chief of staff to Vice President Dick Cheney.

In early 2002, the Central Intelligence Agency sent the former ambassador Joseph C. Wilson IV to Niger to investigate possible attempts to sell uranium to Iraq. The next year, after Mr. Wilson became a vocal critic of the Bush administration's Iraqi intelligence, the identity of his wife, Valerie Wilson, a C.I.A. officer who suggested him for the Niger trip, was made public. The investigation into the leak led to criminal charges in October against Mr. Libby, who is accused of misleading investigators and a grand jury.

The review by the State Department's intelligence bureau was one of a number of reviews undertaken in early 2002 at the State Department in response to secret intelligence pointing to the possibility that Iraq was seeking to buy yellowcake, a processed uranium ore, from Niger to reconstitute its nuclear program.

A four-star general, Carlton W. Fulford Jr., was also sent to Niger to investigate the claims of a uranium purchase. He, too, came away with doubts about the reliability of the report and believed Niger's yellowcake supply to be secure. But the State Department's review, which looked at the political, economic and logistical factors in such a purchase, seems to have produced wider-ranging doubts than other reviews about the likelihood that Niger would try to sell uranium to Baghdad.

The review concluded that Niger was "probably not planning to sell uranium to Iraq," in part because France controlled the uranium industry in the country and could block such a sale. It also cast doubt on an intelligence report indicating that Niger's president, Mamadou Tandja, might have negotiated a sales agreement with Iraq in 2000. Mr. Tandja and his government were reluctant to do anything to endanger their foreign aid from the United States and other allies, the review concluded. The State Department review also cast doubt on the logistics of Niger being able to deliver 500 tons of uranium even if the sale were attempted. "Moving such a quantity secretly over such a distance would be very difficult, particularly because the French would be indisposed to approve or cloak this arrangement," the review said.

Chris Farrell, the director of investigations at Judicial Watch and a former military intelligence officer, said he found the State Department's analysis to be "a very strong, well-thought-out argument that looks at the whole playing field in Niger, and it makes a compelling case for why the uranium sale was so unlikely."

The memo, dated March 4, 2002, was distributed at senior levels by the office of Secretary of State Colin L. Powell and by the Defense Intelligence Agency.

A Bush administration official, who requested anonymity because the issue involved partly classified documents, would not say whether President Bush had seen the State Department's memo before his State of the Union address on Jan. 28, 2003.

But the official added: "The White House is not an intelligence-gathering operation. The president based his remarks in the State of the Union address on the intelligence that was presented to him by the intelligence community and cleared by the intelligence community. The president has said the intelligence was wrong, and we have reorganized our intelligence agencies so we can do better in the future."

Mr. Wilson said in an interview that he did not remember ever seeing the memo but that its analysis should raise further questions about why the White House remained convinced for so long that Iraq was trying to buy uranium in Africa.

"All the people understood that there was documentary evidence" suggesting that the intelligence about the sale was faulty, he said.



Friday, January 20, 2006

 

The Independent: Cronkite's Vietnam moment: 'US must leave Iraq'

Cronkite's Vietnam moment: 'US must leave Iraq'

By David Usborne in New York

Published: 17 January 2006

Walter Cronkite, the former network news anchor they called "the most trusted man in America", has added his voice to those calling for the withdrawal of US troops from Iraq, echoing an appeal he made in 1968 to President Lyndon Johnson to cut his losses in Vietnam.

It has been 25 years since Mr Cronkite, now 89, hard of hearing and slow of gait, has presided over the nightly news bulletins for CBS, but he is still employed by the network and his status as an affable and avuncular national sage is intact. So his comments, made at a gathering of television critics in California, will reverberate.

They came as the Democrat congressman John Murtha, who shocked the White House in November by advocating a withdrawal from Iraq, reiterated his stance and predicted that all US troops would be out by year's end.

Mr Cronkite was recording a documentary for CBS in 1968 about the Tet offensive in Vietnam when he took on board advice from his bosses in New York that he should conclude it with an unusual personal note. That was when he suggested that the US was in a stalemate in Vietnam and should get out. It was a moment that many older Americans still remember and has been shown to have been a turning point in ending the struggle. President Johnson reportedly turned to an aide at the time and said: "If I've lost Cronkite, I've lost Middle America".

Engaged in a question and answer session at the critics' meeting, Mr Cronkite said he considered what he said on Vietnam as his proudest achievement. When a reporter asked him whether, given the chance, he would offer similar advice on Iraq, he did not even wait until the end of the question. "Yes," he said flatly. "It's my belief that we should get out now."

Mr Cronkite added that the best time to have opted for withdrawal would have been directly after Hurricane Katrina struck America's Gulf coast, crushing communities and inundating New Orleans.

"We had an opportunity to say to the world and Iraqis after the hurricane disaster that Mother Nature has not treated us well and we find ourselves missing the amount of money it takes to help these poor people out of their homeless situation and rebuild some of our most important cities in the United States," he said. "Therefore, we are going to have to bring our troops home."

He added that the Iraqi people should have been told that "our hearts are with you" and that the United States would continue to do all it could to help rebuild the country. But he went on: "I think we could have been able to retire with honour. In fact, I think we can retire with honour anyway."

By coincidence, Mr Murtha, himself a decorated veteran of the Vietnam conflict, repeated his own pitch for withdrawal on the CBS current affairs programme 60 Minutes on Sunday. He said he was convinced that the "vast majority" of American troops would be out by the end of 2006. Mr Murtha contends that American troops in Iraq are the catalyst for continuing violence there.

Since Mr Murtha first laid out his position, the Pentagon has signalled a gradual lowering of troop numbers. Pressure for a faster pace of withdrawal is likely to build before November's congressional elections.

In his commentary on Vietnam, Mr Cronkite told viewers: "To say that we are mired in stalemate seems the only realistic, yet unsatisfactory, conclusion ... the only rational way out then will be to negotiate, not as victors, but as an honourable people who lived up to their pledge to defend democracy and did the best they could."


Wednesday, January 18, 2006

 

WP: Gore Says Bush Broke the Law With Spying

Gore Says Bush Broke the Law With Spying
Warrantless Surveillance an Example of 'Indifference' to Constitution, He Charges

By Chris Cillizza
Special to The Washington Post
Tuesday, January 17, 2006; A03

Former vice president Al Gore accused President Bush of breaking the law by authorizing wiretaps on U.S. citizens without court warrants and called on Congress yesterday to reassert its oversight responsibilities on a "shameful exercise of power" by the White House.

"The president of the United States has been breaking the law repeatedly and insistently," Gore said in a speech at Constitution Hall in Washington. "A president who breaks the law is a threat to the very structure of our government."

To restore a system of checks and balances to government, Gore proposed appointing a special counsel to look into the domestic surveillance program, developing new whistle-blower protections and not extending the Patriot Act. He urged members of Congress, only one of whom -- Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) -- was present, to "start acting like the independent and coequal branch of government you're supposed to be."

On the holiday marking the 77th birthday of the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr., Gore drew a parallel between the FBI's eavesdropping on the civil rights leader and the current eavesdropping by the National Security Agency on communications between Americans and what Bush has said are suspected terrorists.

He also sought to cast the domestic surveillance program as simply the latest extension of a "truly breathtaking expansion of executive power" by the Bush administration. Gore said this began when the White House used incorrect intelligence about whether Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction to justify invading it and has continued through the Abu Ghraib prisoner-abuse scandal and the debate over whether torture may be used to extract information from detainees.

"The disrespect embodied in these apparent mass violations of the law is part of a larger pattern of seeming indifference to the Constitution that is deeply troubling to Americans in both political parties," Gore said. The Bush administration's actions have "brought our republic to the brink of a dangerous breach in the fabric of the Constitution," he added.

While Gore's denunciation of the administration's domestic surveillance program drew cheers from the crowd at the event, sponsored by the Liberty Coalition and the American Constitution Society, national public polling shows that Americans remain divided on the issue.

In the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll, 51 percent said that "wiretapping of telephone calls and e-mails without court approval" was an acceptable tool for the federal government to use when investigating terrorism. Forty-seven percent said it was an unacceptable for the government to use those methods in order to catch suspected terrorists.

Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) has called Attorney General Alberto R. Gonzales to testify at a hearing about the eavesdropping program. Specter said Sunday that if Bush broke the law in authorizing wiretaps without going through the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act court to get warrants, he could face impeachment.

"I'm not suggesting remotely that there's any basis" for impeachment, Specter told George Stephanopoulos on ABC's "This Week." "After impeachment, you could have a criminal prosecution, but the principal remedy, George, under our society is to pay a political price."

Gonzales, appearing on Fox News Channel's "Hannity & Colmes" last night, said, "The Department of Justice has carefully reviewed this program from its inception, and a determination has been made that the program is lawful." He added that the president not only has the authority, "he has the duty" to protect the United States against another attack.

Tracey Schmitt, a spokeswoman for the Republican National Committee, dismissed Gore's speech as headline-hunting. "Al Gore's incessant need to insert himself in the headline of the day is almost as glaring as his lack of understanding of the threats facing America," Schmitt said.

Gore was supposed to have been introduced, using a video link, by former congressman Robert L. Barr Jr. (R-Ga.) -- a bitter adversary of Gore and President Bill Clinton during the 1990s who now shares Gore's concern over the surveillance program. That strange-bedfellows moment was thwarted by a technological breakdown.

Although Gore devoted the vast majority of his speech to the controversy over domestic spying, he did make time to advocate several policy initiatives he has championed, most notably on global warming and the corrosive influence of television on political discourse. He steered away from any discussion of his future national ambitions, offering only a wry smile in response to a "Gore '08" shout from a man in the crowd.

Cillizza is a staff writer for washingtonpost.com.


Tuesday, January 17, 2006

 

UPI: New call to impeach Blair over Iraq

New call to impeach Blair over Iraq

By HANNAH K. STRANGE
UPI U.K. Correspondent

LONDON, Jan. 9 (UPI) -- British Prime Minister Tony Blair should be impeached for going to war on Iraq on a false basis, one of Britain's most senior former soldiers said Monday.

The ex-United Nations commander in Bosnia, Gen. Sir Michael Rose, said Blair had to be held to account for his actions.

"To go to war on what turns out to be false grounds is something that no one should be allowed to walk away from," he said.

"Certainly from a soldier's perspective there can't be any more serious decision taken by a prime minister than declaring war," he told BBC Radio.

Blair's actions had been "somewhere in-between" getting the politics wrong and acting illegally, he said, with consequences that had been disastrous both for Iraq and for the wider "war on terror."

Rose said he believed Parliament had only endorsed the war because of Blair's argument about weapons of mass destruction, which had turned out to be wholly wrong.

The intelligence relied upon by Blair should have been tested properly by giving U.N. weapons inspectors more time to see if Saddam Hussein really had WMD, he continued.

However the threat of WMD was probably not Blair's real reason for war anyway, Rose added.

"The politics was wrong, that he rarely declared what his ultimate aims were, as far as we can see, in terms of harping continually on weapons of mass destruction when actually he probably had some other strategy in mind.

"And secondly, the consequences of that war have been quite disastrous both for the people of Iraq and also for the west in terms of our wider interests in the war against global terror."

But, he added, despite the feeling of many people that the continued presence of British troops in Iraq was achieving little, it would be wrong to just walk away from Iraq now.

Rose is one of several former soldiers taking part in a Channel 4 documentary entitled Iraq: The Failure of War, to be broadcast in Britain on Friday.

It is in the documentary, by former BBC war correspondent and former independent member of Parliament Martin Bell, that Rose makes his call for impeachment.

He said: "The politicians should be held to account, and my own view is that Blair should be impeached.

"That would prevent politicians treating quite so carelessly the subject of taking a country into war."

He adds that he would have resigned rather than lead troops into battle on the flimsy basis offered by Blair.

Responding to Gen. Rose's accusation at a lobby briefing Monday, Blair's official spokesman said: "General Rose is entitled to his view. Equally, the government is entitled to point out that we have had free democratic elections in Iraq for the first time in well over a generation.

"In the last of these elections, 69 percent of the population of Iraq expressed their view.

"In terms of the reasons why we went to war, that has been investigated by four inquiries, including two select committees of the Houses of Parliament.

"The matter has been gone well over and in terms of the outcome -- which is what matters -- of course there have been difficulties, but we have in process the creation of a democratically elected government in Iraq and that speaks for itself."

There has already been an attempt by MPs to impeach Blair for "high crimes and misdemeanors" in taking Britain to war against Iraq. The campaign had backing from Conservative, Liberal Democrat, Plaid Cymru and Scottish National Party MPs.

However Lord Tim Garden, former assistant chief of defense staff and a defense spokesperson for the Liberal Democrats, said this was "always going to be more a gesture than a reality" and those heading the bid had not expected it to go ahead.

"The oddest thing of all is that Mike Rose comes in at this stage," he said, questioning why the former soldier had not come forward with his views during the impeachment campaign in 2004, when the bid could have very much benefited from his support.

Garden told United Press International he did not in fact agree that Blair should be impeached as this would be "handing out the sentence without having heard the evidence."

There should first be an independent inquiry into how the government made the decision to go to war, he said.

Four separate inquiries into events surrounding the war have already been held, including the Butler report into intelligence failings and the Hutton inquiry into the death of Dr David Kelly, the former weapons inspector who claimed the government had exaggerated the case for invasion.

However critics said the parameters of the inquiries were too narrow and did not examine how the government made the decision to go to war. The Butler report was boycotted by the Liberal Democrats, the only major British party to oppose the U.S.-led invasion.

Garden told UPI it was "extraordinary" that there had still been no objective inquiry into that decision-making process and the conduct of the war.

"That is still something which leaves people, rightly in a democracy, feeling very uncomfortable."

Britain had gone to war on what Blair himself had now admitted was a "false premise," he said, and conducted itself in a way which had brought "enormous death and destruction" to the Iraqi people.

There were still questions over the legality of the war under international law, he added.

Last month, more than 100 MPs from across the parties backed a call for an inquiry by senior parliamentarians into the handling of the Iraq war and its aftermath.

The motion called for a special committee of seven senior MPs to review the decision-making process. The committee would be members of the Privy Council and would therefore be able to look at sensitive intelligence material.

A debate and vote on the issue will likely be held in Parliament this spring. However Lord Garden told UPI that an inquiry was unlikely to go ahead as the government would rebuff it.

"It may have to wait until we have a government of a different complexion," he said.




Monday, January 16, 2006

 

NYT: A View From the Center of the Iraq Maelstrom (L. Paul Bremer III paints a troubling portrait of the administration's handling of the occupation)

A damning indictment of Bush administration policy from the guy who carried it out...
 
...as Mr. Bremer told Vice President Dick Cheney in the fall of 2003, the United States did not have a practical "military strategy for victory" in the postwar; and that, as he told Condoleezza Rice in May 2004, the United States had become "the worst of all things - an ineffective occupier."

The book underscores the degree to which certain idées fixes held by members of the administration hobbled postwar planning, such as the notion that America could "quickly turn full authority over to a group of selected Iraqi exiles" like Ahmad Chalabi, even though, Mr. Bremer points out, those exiles lacked credibility in large sectors of the population.

 

And finally, the book points up the huge gap between the reality on the ground in Iraq and the wishful thinking and bad intelligence that informed administration hawks' thinking. Assertions, for example, that oil exports would pay for the country's reconstruction, when, in fact, sabotage of pipelines and a decrepit industry infrastructure meant big expenditures just to get the Iraqi oil business up and running. And dismissals of insurgents as mere "pockets of dead enders," when, in fact, Mr. Bremer says he read in the summer of 2003 a pre-invasion Iraqi intelligence document calling for a strategy of organized resistance to be put into effect when and if Saddam's regime collapsed.

Mr. Rumsfeld seems to have ignored Mr. Bremer's entreaties. Before leaving for Iraq in May 2003, Mr. Bremer sent the defense secretary a copy of a RAND report estimating that 500,000 troops would be needed to stabilize postwar Iraq - more than three times the number of troops then deployed. "I think you should consider this," Mr. Bremer wrote in his cover memo. He says he never heard back from Mr. Rumsfeld.
-------------
 
January 12, 2006
Books of The Times | 'My Year in Iraq'

A View From the Center of the Iraq Maelstrom

When Ambassador L. Paul Bremer III arrived in Baghdad in May of 2003 as America's proconsul in Iraq, he assumed the most powerful foreign post held by any American since Gen. Douglas MacArthur in Japan. While he knew little about Iraq when he was appointed by President Bush, Mr. Bremer became, as he writes in his revealing new memoir, "the only paramount authority figure - other than dictator Saddam Hussein - that most Iraqis had ever known." His mandate was as sweeping as his powers: to oversee the remaking of an entire nation, from its political institutions to its economic machinery to its security infrastructure.

When Mr. Bremer departed 14 months later, after handing off authority to an interim government, many critics - in Washington, in the military and in the press - were biting in their assessment of his record. The insurgency had blossomed, violence and casualties were on the rise, and hopes for a quickly stabilized, democratic Iraq were fading. Mr. Bremer was blamed for allowing the security situation to deteriorate. In particular, he was blamed for disbanding the old Iraqi army, an action that critics said contributed to the security vacuum and put several hundred thousand armed Iraqis on the street with no job and no salary, as the New Yorker writer George Packer has argued. Mr. Bremer was also blamed for issuing an order that banned thousands of Baath Party officials from returning to their government jobs, thereby depriving the occupation of experienced Iraqi administrators.

"My Year in Iraq," an amalgam of spin and sincerity, is partly an explanation (or rationalization) of actions Mr. Bremer took as America's man in Baghdad, partly an effort to issue some "I told you so's" to administration colleagues, and partly an attempt to spread (or reassign) responsibility (or blame) by tracing just who in the White House, Pentagon and State Department signed off on or ordered critical decisions made during his tenure.

Mr. Bremer deals with some issues like prisoner abuse at Abu Ghraib in an extremely cursory fashion, while explicating others, like the debate over the timetable for sovereignty, in considerable detail, and he cavalierly dismisses the State Department's Future of Iraq Project, which critics say was sidelined because of tensions with the Pentagon, as not offering a practical plan for postwar Iraq.

While the book is studded with familiar administration sound bites about the importance of deposing Mr. Hussein, it paints a troubling portrait of the administration's handling of the occupation. It is a portrait that in many respects ratifies what critics of the war and postwar have long been saying: that there were not enough American troops to provide security and contain a spreading insurgency; that, as Mr. Bremer told Vice President Dick Cheney in the fall of 2003, the United States did not have a practical "military strategy for victory" in the postwar; and that, as he told Condoleezza Rice in May 2004, the United States had become "the worst of all things - an ineffective occupier."

At the same time, "My Year in Iraq" suggests that the decision-making process within the administration was frequently haphazard and self-defeating, leading, for instance, to procrastination about the firebrand Shiite cleric Moktada al-Sadr instead of decisive action against him (as Mr. Bremer had urged) before his militant movement got out of hand.

The book underscores the degree to which certain idées fixes held by members of the administration hobbled postwar planning, such as the notion that America could "quickly turn full authority over to a group of selected Iraqi exiles" like Ahmad Chalabi, even though, Mr. Bremer points out, those exiles lacked credibility in large sectors of the population.

And finally, the book points up the huge gap between the reality on the ground in Iraq and the wishful thinking and bad intelligence that informed administration hawks' thinking. Assertions, for example, that oil exports would pay for the country's reconstruction, when, in fact, sabotage of pipelines and a decrepit industry infrastructure meant big expenditures just to get the Iraqi oil business up and running. And dismissals of insurgents as mere "pockets of dead enders," when, in fact, Mr. Bremer says he read in the summer of 2003 a pre-invasion Iraqi intelligence document calling for a strategy of organized resistance to be put into effect when and if Saddam's regime collapsed.

America's paucity of practical intelligence about "the nature of the enemy" stemmed in part, Mr. Bremer argues, from the priorities Washington set for the Central Intelligence Agency's Baghdad station - "hunting for weapons of mass destruction and capturing the senior Baathist fugitives made notorious on Centcom's Most Wanted deck of cards" instead of focusing on "the guys who are blowing up Humvees and killing our soldiers." Matters were exacerbated by the fact that the Coalition Provisional Authority was chronically understaffed: in July 2003, Mr. Bremer notes, none of the 250 people he had requested weeks before had arrived, and "Washington red tape would slow reconstruction funds and personnel for almost a year."

Although Mr. Bremer did not publicly call for more American troops while he was posted in Iraq, he said in the fall of 2004, before the presidential election, that inadequate forces had hampered the occupation by allowing widespread looting to create "an atmosphere of lawlessness" early on. In this volume, Mr. Bremer much more forcefully emphasizes his belief, throughout his tenure in Iraq, that more troops were needed to secure the country, and his fear that the Pentagon - adhering to Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld's theory of streamlining the military - was eager to "replace U.S. troops with unprepared Iraqi police" who had been rushed "through truncated training courses."

Mr. Bremer quotes a September 2003 memo in which Mr. Rumsfeld declared that "our goal should be to ramp up the Iraqi numbers, try to get some additional international forces" and "reduce the U.S. role." And he writes that Colin L. Powell said this push was related to concerns that the president might have to mobilize more National Guard units, including ones from crucial states in an election year.

Mr. Rumsfeld seems to have ignored Mr. Bremer's entreaties. Before leaving for Iraq in May 2003, Mr. Bremer sent the defense secretary a copy of a RAND report estimating that 500,000 troops would be needed to stabilize postwar Iraq - more than three times the number of troops then deployed. "I think you should consider this," Mr. Bremer wrote in his cover memo. He says he never heard back from Mr. Rumsfeld.

The same thing happened a year later, Mr. Bremer recounts, when he sent Mr. Rumsfeld a message noting "that the deterioration of the security situation since April had made it clear, to me at least, that we were trying to cover too many fronts with too few resources." He recommended that the Pentagon "consider whether the Coalition could deploy one or two additional divisions for up to a year." Again, he says, he never heard back from Mr. Rumsfeld.

As for President Bush, Mr. Bremer says he spoke to him about the RAND report in May 2003 and brought up the issue of troop levels again the following month in a video conference with the National Security Council, presided over by Mr. Bush.

On the controversial matter of disbanding the Iraqi army, Mr. Bremer argues, as he has in interviews, that "the old army had long since disappeared" by the time he arrived in Iraq: "when Iraqi draftees had seen which way the war was going in 2003, they simply deserted and went home to their farms and families." The decision to formally dissolve Mr. Hussein's army, Mr. Bremer contends, was meant to "demonstrate to the Iraqi people" that the United States had destroyed "the underpinnings of the Saddam regime." That decision, Mr. Bremer adds, was hardly his alone, but was made in consultation with Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz and Under Secretary of Defense Douglas Feith, and was authorized by Mr. Rumsfeld.

The exclusion of former Baathists from the government was more complicated. Mr. Bremer writes that before he even got to Baghdad, Mr. Feith showed him a draft order for the "De-Baathification of Iraqi Society" and said he was thinking of having Mr. Bremer's predecessor in Baghdad, Jay Garner, issue the order right away.

Mr. Feith was persuaded to let Mr. Bremer issue the decree himself, when he got to Baghdad. Its implementation, Mr. Bremer writes, was left largely to Iraqis on the Governing Council like Mr. Chalabi, who was close to Mr. Feith and other neo-conservatives at the Pentagon. "Our de-Baathification policy had targeted only the top 1 percent of the party's members," he writes, "but under Chalabi's direction, the Iraqi De-Baathification Council had broadened the policy, for example, depriving thousands of teachers of their jobs." In retrospect, Mr. Bremer adds, he "had been wrong to give a political body like the Governing Council responsibility for overseeing the de-Baathification policy."

At one point, talking about the Iraqi Governing Council, Mr. Bremer said to Mr. Wolfowitz, "Those people couldn't organize a parade, let alone run the country."

As this book makes clear, the hidden and not-so-hidden agendas of Washington officials and exiles like Mr. Chalabi, along with the clashing interests of various Shiite, Sunni and Kurdish representatives, turned many of Mr. Bremer's 18-hour days into marathons of frustrating conflict resolution. Combined with the daily exigencies of overseeing a country threatening to slip into chaos and the maddening bureaucratic problems of getting even the simplest plans off the ground, they give a whole new meaning to the phrase "crisis management," and they leave the reader with a sobering sense of the staggering difficulties of the situation in Iraq.



Sunday, January 15, 2006

 

TomPaine.com: Proof Bush Deceived America

Proof Bush Deceived America

Ray McGovern

January 13, 2006

Ray McGovern works with Tell the Word, the publishing arm of the ecumenical Church of the Saviour.  A 27-year veteran of the CIA’s analysis ranks, he is now on the steering group of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).

James Risen’s State of War: the Secret History of the CIA and the Bush Administration, may hold bigger secrets than the disclosure that President George W. Bush authorized warrantless eavesdropping on Americans. 

Risen’s book also confirms the most damning element of the British Cabinet Office memos popularly called the “Downing Street memos;” namely, that “the intelligence and the facts were being fixed around the policy.” The result is that it is no longer credible to maintain that the failures in the Iraqi intelligence were the product of a broken intelligence community. The Bush administration deliberately fabricated the case against Iraq, lying to Congress and the American people along the way.

Risen, a senior reporter for The New York Times, reports that British Prime Minister Tony Blair had an urgent need in the summer of 2002 to get the equivalent of a “second opinion” regarding Bush’s plans for war in Iraq—insight independent of his own telephone conversations with the president and independent of what Blair was hearing from his own foreign office.

During his April 2002 visit to Crawford, Blair had gone out on a limb in pledging to support war on Iraq.  The following months saw him getting nervous.  So he chose what intelligence parlance calls a “back channel,” and sent the chief of British intelligence, Richard Dearlove, to Washington to sound out his counterpart: the garrulous CIA director George Tenet, who he knew to be very close to the president.

The highly revealing Downing Street memo contained the minutes of Dearlove's briefing of Blair and his top advisers upon his return from Washington on July 23. But what the memo left unanswered was the question of who gave Dearlove the confidence to say this to his prime minister:

Military action was now seen as inevitable.  Bush wanted to remove Saddam, through military action, justified by the conjunction of terrorism and WMD.  But the intelligence and the facts were being fixed around the policy.

When the Sunday Times published the minutes of that key briefing on May 1, 2005, it seemed a safe bet that Dearlove’s source was Tenet, and I said so.

Now we have the confirmation. Risen writes that George Tenet was reluctant to receive Dearlove, but acquiesced when the British made clear that Blair considered the back-channel meeting urgent.  Tenet then rose to the occasion—with a vengeance.  Risen, quoting a former senior CIA official who helped host the British for a session that lasted most of Saturday, July 20, 2002, reports that Tenet and Dearlove had a 90-minute one-on-one conversation, during which Tenet was “very candid.”

Risen adds that by the time of this “intelligence summit,” senior CIA officials had concluded that “the quality of the intelligence on weapons of mass destruction didn’t really matter,” since war was inevitable. That perverse attitude certainly prevailed two months later, when the fabricated National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq and WMD was produced by Tenet’s National Intelligence Council in a successful attempt to deceive Congress into voting for war.

A former CIA official told Risen that after the conversation with Tenet, Richard Dearlove could certainly “figure out what was going on; plus, the MI6 station chief in Washington was in CIA headquarters all the time, with just about complete access to everything.” In any case, we now know that Blair got what he wanted out of the visit—the inside scoop from someone enjoying the complete trust of, and daily access to, President Bush. 

The president now says that he does not want his political opposition to dwell on how he lied to Congress and the American people in order to invade a country and kill tens of thousands of Iraqi civilians and more than 2,200 U. S. troops—not to mention the many thousands maimed for life.  Perhaps he knows that Risen's book could do as much damage to his administration by calling renewed attention to the Downing Street memos as is likely to be done by the revelations of the secret NSA wiretapping.

One world leader recognizes the extreme danger of official lies told to a nation in the service of an aggressive war. He also happens to be a leader who survived the horrors of fascism in the last century. In a Jan. 1 address to the world, Pope Benedict XVI spoke about the consequences of lies such as these, in what can only be a thinly veiled reference to the president of the United States:

…Sacred Scripture, in its very first book, Genesis, points to the lie told at the very beginning of history by the animal with a forked tongue, whom the Evangelist John calls ''the father of lies'' (Jn 8:44). Lying is also one of the sins spoken of in the final chapter of the last book of the Bible, Revelation, which bars liars from the heavenly Jerusalem: ''outside are... all who love falsehood'' (22:15). Lying is linked to the tragedy of sin and its perverse consequences, which have had, and continue to have, devastating effects on the lives of individuals and nations. We need but think of the events of the past century, when aberrant ideological and political systems wilfully twisted the truth and brought about the exploitation and murder of an appalling number of men and women, wiping out entire families and communities. After experiences like these, how can we fail to be seriously concerned about lies in our own time, lies which are the framework for menacing scenarios of death in many parts of the world.

The ethos of the Central Intelligence Agency in which my contemporaries and I worked was chiseled into the marble at the entrance of CIA headquarters: “You will know the truth, and the truth will set you free.” 

Sadly, the agency has come a long way.



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